A thriving economy and affordable communities require a foundation of public health and safety. Right now, that foundation is cracked. Californians see the interconnected crises of homelessness, mental illness, addiction, and crime on our streets daily. We feel frustrated by the lack of progress despite massive spending, and worried for the safety of our families and communities. It's time for a problem-solver's approach that prioritizes both accountability and compassionate care.
The Problem: Failed Policies Fueling Street-Level Crises
Californians are compassionate, but our patience with failed policies has run out. In November 2024, nearly 70% of voters, across party lines, passed Proposition 36. This vote sent two clear messages: first, a demand for accountability for repeat theft offenders who harm our communities and businesses; second, a recognition that we desperately need better pathways to address the severe mental health and addiction crises fueling suffering on our streets. This wasn't a partisan vote; it was a statewide cry for common sense solutions to complex problems.
This demand comes after California poured nearly $24 billion into homelessness programs over the last five years, yet saw overall homelessness reach record highs statewide during that same period, according to analyses like those from the Hoover Institution. That's not just failed policy; it's a staggering waste of taxpayer money and a profound failure to help those most in need.
The public health crisis exploded with the fentanyl epidemic. San Francisco recorded a devastating 813 accidental overdose deaths in 2023, the vast majority involving fentanyl. Despite millions spent on "harm reduction" supplies and initiatives like the $22 million Tenderloin Linkage Center (operated Jan-Dec 2022), which evaluations showed connected only a small fraction of visitors to meaningful treatment, overdose deaths tragically continued to climb. Handing out supplies without effective pathways and mandates for treatment enables addiction; it doesn't solve it.
The state's rigid adherence to "Housing First" without sufficient mandatory supportive services for those with severe challenges has proven insufficient. While housing is critical, national studies and local realities show it often fails without required treatment for severe mental illness or addiction. Furthermore, state and federal funding preferences often hinder support for drug-free or sober housing. This creates barriers for families (estimated ~10% of the homeless count), individuals in recovery (surveys suggest ~30-40% of homeless individuals report substance use disorder), and domestic violence survivors who need and deserve safe, sober environments.
Our criminal justice system failures compound the problem. With nearly 40% recidivism rates within three years of release (based on recent California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation data), we're failing both individuals and public safety. A staggering percentage of the homeless report prior incarceration (some studies indicating over 60%), highlighting a pipeline from prison to the streets. This cycle is incredibly costly. It costs over $132,000 per year per inmate (in 2022-2023), far exceeding the estimated $25,000-$50,000 annual cost for supportive housing or intensive treatment, making our affordability crisis worse.
This breakdown impacts everyone's quality of life and safety:
- Small Businesses Suffer: Staggering losses from retail theft, estimated in the billions annually for California retailers, drive up costs. Consequently, commercial insurance premiums in high-theft areas reportedly jumped 20-30% or more between 2022 and 2025, forcing closures and hurting consumers.
- Public Transit Struggles: Ridership recovery remains stalled well below pre-pandemic (2019) levels due to safety concerns and changing commute patterns. As of early 2025, Bay Area Rapid Transit train (BART) ridership often remained nearly 60% below 2019, while LA Metro hovered roughly 17% below, and San Francisco Municipal Transportation Agency (Muni) faced similar challenges. Paradoxically, during this period of decreased ridership, operating costs have soared. BART's operating budget, for example, has increased by roughly 30% between 2019 and 2025, a trend mirrored by other large agencies facing rising labor and operational expenses even with fewer passengers.
- Transit Finances Crushed: Agencies lose vast sums to fare evasion on top of the revenue shortfall from low ridership. BART estimated losses near $30 million annually in 2024, while LA Metro projected ~$70 million lost in 2024. This isn't just a financial issue; it's a critical safety concern. According to data reported by the Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department, over 90% of those arrested for violent crimes on the LA Metro system between May 2023 and April 2024 had also evaded paying the fare, demonstrating a strong link between fare evasion and serious criminal activity. This financial strain occurs despite significantly higher operating budgets compared to pre-pandemic levels.
- Taxpayers Foot the Bill (Again): Despite lower ridership and higher costs per rider, state leaders recently passed legislation (SB 63, Oct 2025) setting the stage for a regional sales tax hike of up to 1% on the November 2026 ballot across multiple Bay Area counties. This bandaid solution focuses on raising billions via a regressive tax that hurts working families, instead of fixing the fundamental safety, reliability, and runaway cost problems first.
- Tourism and State Image Decline: Higher taxes and safety concerns deter tourism just as we prepare for major events like the Super Bowl in Santa Clara (2026), the FIFA World Cup (2026), and the LA Olympics (2028). California's image suffers. When I moved here decades ago, telling someone you lived in California inspired awe. Now, too often, it’s met with pity or becomes the punchline of a joke. It breaks my heart. This shift is reflected in 2025 PPIC polls showing majorities consistently believe the state is on the wrong track, citing homelessness and crime as top concerns.
Furthermore, unchecked encampments create significant public health and environmental hazards. They often lead to the contamination of waterways with trash and human waste, posing risks downstream. Their presence negatively impacts local businesses and tourism, particularly when located near parks, schools, playgrounds, and commercial districts, creating no-go zones and deterring visitors.
There is no compassion in letting people die on our streets from untreated illness or addiction, nor is it compassionate to allow unsafe conditions to degrade our shared public spaces. True compassion demands intervention and care, even when individuals cannot choose it for themselves.